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2024-12-14 00:07:50

CICC: Gradually filling the gap between inflation and demand will be the direction of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The research department of CICC believes that for the economic goal of next year, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and put forward "focusing on goal guidance and striving to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". This is the first time in the past 15 years that "stabilizing prices" has been taken as the goal of annual economic work during the period of low prices. The research department of CICC believes that gradually bridging the inflation gap and demand gap will be the direction of economic work next year.The institutional deposits of Ping An Bank exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the beginning of this year, Ping An Bank successfully won the bid for the qualification of central treasury centralized payment agent bank. Interface journalists learned from the recent Digital Intelligence Government Conference held by the bank that up to now, Ping An Bank has more than 1,000 core government qualifications and institutional deposits have exceeded 400 billion yuan. At the conference, the bank officially released the "Safe and Intelligent Government Affairs" platform, and signed general-to-general partnership agreements with the first batch of 10 institutional business partners, including Booz Software, Shenyue Software and Guangdong Bankruptcy Administrators Association.Beijing officially launched the online game boutique publishing project. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Meeting held on December 13th, Beijing launched the online game boutique publishing project. The online game boutique publishing project combines the functional orientation of the capital, highlights the characteristics of the capital, excavates the cultural elements of Beijing, focuses on five key directions, implements five supporting mechanisms to excavate and incubate the boutique, and guides and drives the high-quality development of Beijing's game industry. Five key directions, namely, spreading positive mainstream values, carrying forward the spirit of Chinese culture, showing the style of the capital era, highlighting the vitality of scientific and technological innovation, and having the potential for international communication. Five supporting mechanisms will be implemented for the game works and enterprises selected for the top-quality game publishing project in Beijing, namely, priority recommendation, whole-process incubation, copyright protection, platform service and talent guarantee mechanism, so as to increase support for the innovative creation of top-quality games. (beijing communication radio)


Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar hit a new low since November 26th, and is now reported at 1.0463.Market News: Indonesia's central bank has made triple intervention to maintain market confidence in the Indonesian rupiah.


Market News: Indonesia's central bank has made triple intervention to maintain market confidence in the Indonesian rupiah.Huayi Brothers Dianji Animation Film Co., Ltd. is operating abnormally. Tianyancha App shows that recently, Huayi Brothers Dianji Animation Film Co., Ltd. was listed in the list of abnormal operations by Shanghai Xuhui District Market Supervision Administration because it could not be contacted through the registered residence or business premises. Huayi Brothers Touching Animation Film Co., Ltd. was established in March 2016. Its legal representative is Wang Zhonglei, with a registered capital of 200 million yuan. Its business scope includes film distribution, film screening, film production, production of audio-visual products and electronic publications, etc. It is wholly owned by Huayi Brothers.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.

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